Marina Favaro

Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy, University of Hamburg

Abstract:

The military applications of a new generation of technologies have given rise to significant concerns regarding their potential impact on international stability and human security. Meanwhile, decision makers who aim to mitigate these concerns through arms control measures face an uphill battle: the speed of technological innovation, the unclear impact of emerging technologies, and intensifying military-technological competition between the United States and Russia and China are impeding effective arms control for emerging military technologies. This study is the capstone of a one-year study with the objective of forecasting the impact of emerging technologies on international stability and human security. It uses original data to answer three questions: 1. What impacts are emerging technologies likely to have on arms race stability, crisis stability, and humanitarian principles up to 2040? 2. Which emerging technologies show similarities in terms of impact? 3. When will the impact of these technologies become most acute?

Bio:

Marina Favaro is a Research Fellow in the 'Arms Control & Emerging Technologies' Research Programme at the Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy (IFSH) at the University of Hamburg. From 2020 to 2021, Marina managed the Emerging Technologies research programme at the London think tank BASIC and worked as a researcher at the Centre for Science and Security Studies (CSSS) at King’s College London. Before that, Marina worked as an Analyst at RAND Europe. She holds a Master’s degree in international relations and politics from the University of Cambridge and a postgraduate certificate in applied data science.