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Survivability of Chinese, Russian, and US ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs)

Tom Stefanick

Brookings Institution

Zoom link: https://mit.zoom.us/j/92028919066

Abstract

With substantial numbers of Chinese and Russian strategic forces based on SSBNs and the majority of US warheads deployed on SSBNs, the question of survivability remains an important question. Several authors have asserted that the combinations of new technologies such as quantum sensing, artificial intelligence, uncrewed vehicles, etc. will lead to capabilities to threaten SSBN fleets. I offer some analysis to the contrary.

Bio

Tom Stefanick is a Visiting Fellow in the Strobe Talbott Center on Security, Strategy, and Technology at the Brookings Institution, working on military targeting and maritime security. Prior to this position, he was a senior vice president at Metron, Inc. and oversaw business units producing algorithms, autonomous systems, and simulation models for the Department of Defense. He worked in the House Armed Services Committee in 1987 and 1988 on Soviet submarines and strategic antisubmarine warfare after completing a book on that topic.